## The Special Fish Report## Albert W. Small (December 1944)## Page 27 1/2 |
Tony Sale's Codes and Ciphers |

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- CX/MSS

- TOP SECRET Special Fish Report Page 27 1/2

to signs of the true wheel) - and therefore the more nearly accurate

value of a pip (numerically) is:

R - qX

may be expected to exceed the true score. This is getting involved and

I hate to break up continuity here but it is really the best place

to thrash it out.

- What value shall be given "q"?

We said that x = Sum|xi|. The expected value of |xi|

expected value of |xi| (or E|xi|) = X/W.

- Also, qX = correct value = Sum (xiei) (wherein ei = +1 or -1

expected value of xiei) = x0 and let us call sigma xiei = sigma

- Now, since |xiei| is a function of xiei (whose expected value is x0)

and we may graph x0 (which is actully Sigma xiei/W) against X/W Sigma and thereby

solve for x0 and obtain Sum(xiei) which is qX.

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